Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.760108e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089
2025-02-09 2.906097e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000088 0.000107
2025-02-16 2.532481e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000063 0.000081 0.000103 0.000130
2025-02-23 2.088268e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000111 0.000145
2025-03-02 1.632691e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000059 0.000084 0.000114 0.000154
2025-03-09 1.319802e-05 0.000023 0.000037 0.000057 0.000085 0.000119 0.000165
2025-03-16 1.083866e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000056 0.000085 0.000124 0.000175
2025-03-23 9.100136e-06 0.000019 0.000033 0.000055 0.000087 0.000129 0.000187
2025-03-30 7.566731e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000054 0.000088 0.000134 0.000197
2025-04-06 6.082914e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000052 0.000088 0.000136 0.000205
2025-04-13 4.613933e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000085 0.000135 0.000207
2025-04-20 3.659944e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000084 0.000137 0.000214
2025-04-27 3.175999e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000089 0.000147 0.000234
2025-05-04 2.544582e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000091 0.000155 0.000250
2025-05-11 2.367249e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000099 0.000170 0.000277
2025-05-18 1.893841e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000102 0.000177 0.000293
2025-05-25 1.322130e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000049 0.000100 0.000178 0.000300
2025-06-01 9.545745e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000099 0.000181 0.000310
2025-06-08 6.927252e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000046 0.000100 0.000185 0.000322
2025-06-15 5.140830e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000101 0.000191 0.000336
2025-06-22 3.652172e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000102 0.000195 0.000348
2025-06-29 2.336697e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000043 0.000100 0.000197 0.000356
2025-07-06 1.238858e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000097 0.000194 0.000357